Pre-Market Report, September 23, 2020

 Pre-Market Report:

  • US markets closed in Green finally.

  • But Asian markets are mostly down.

  • SGX Nifty is down slightly, by about 10, 15 points.

  • But rest assured, today's market will be highly volatile.

  • Usually, Wednesday trades are highly volatile.

  • Now FIIs selling of Rs 2000 crores worth of shares in the Cash market, Dollar Index above 94, negative Asian cues, all will add to the volatility.

  • Yesterday Nifty took support around 1100 and Bank Nifty around 21000.

  • With yesterday's fall, Bank Nifty has fallen about 20%.

  • That is one of the most severe corrections.

  • Yesterday Pre Open, Nifty closed above 11300 but sold off as soon as markets opened.

  • In between, there were few attempts for recovery.

  • Now markets have become "Sell on Rally".

  • DIIs supported the markets, for the first time in the last 3 months, by pumping in about Rs 800 crores.

  • So we can expect them to support at lower levels.

  • The next support for Nifty is at 11000 only.

  • Reliance and HDFC Bank, both were very weak in yesterday's trade.

  • They are Numbers 1 and 2, in Index Weightage. So that is the reason why Nifty could not sustain at higher levels.

  • The problem in this fall is that 'No meaningful shorts were created'.

  • Since there are no shorts, the short-covering rally also ruled out.

  • We can expect Nifty to consolidate between 11000 and 11300.

  • Bank Nifty broke 21000 yesterday and that is very bad news.

  • IT stocks may outperform, Rupee may depreciate today.

  • Selling Call options aggressively both in Index and Stocks.

  • It seems that this volatility will continue until the US elections.

  • Planning to add some short positions if Nifty breaks yesterday's low.

  • Shorting Bank Nifty future and selling ATM puts is a good idea.

  • One good thing is that despite the fall in markets, India VIX did not move higher.

  • It does not mean markets will rise.

  • That means markets may not fall drastically from here.

  • Nifty future may trade between 11080 and 11280.



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